Less than two weeks after Donald Trump was found guilty in his New York hush money case, Joe Biden and the former president are tied among voters nationwide and in key swing states.
According to a poll conducted on Sunday by CBS News and YouGov, 50% of respondents nationwide would vote for Trump and 49% would probably back Biden at this stage of the election. However, when asked who they thought would win in battleground states, 50% said they thought Biden would win and 49% said they thought Trump would win.
The margin of error for the poll, which is +/- 3.8 percentage points, is well within both results. Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin have an oversample included in it.
Only a few days after a Manhattan jury found Trump guilty of fabricating financial documents in an attempt to sway the 2016 election, the poll was conducted from June 5 to June 7.
Regarding Trump’s guilty judgment, 71% of voters who indicated they would probably vote for him this autumn said it had no bearing on their decision to back the former president.
Republicans who were surveyed, eighty percent of them, think that Trump was charged due to orders from the Biden administration. The former president, who is also the likely Republican nominee for president in 2024, was not singled out by the president or other government officials, according to any evidence.
Of those who intended to back Biden in the fall, 54% claimed that their sole motivation for supporting the incumbent president was to oppose Trump.
Voting demographics
Regarding voter demographics, among Black respondents to the CBS News survey, Biden received 81% of the vote, while Trump received only 18%. Of the women surveyed, 54% indicated they would support Biden in the fall, while 45% said they would vote for Trump.
The poll, which was issued on Sunday, shows that Trump leads Biden 58% to 41% among those over 65. Three-quarters of white voters without a degree say they will vote for Biden in November, compared to sixty-four percent who prefer Trump.